MLB Betting Free Picks: Cincinnati @ Florida

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Baseball betting is picking up steam at for sports betting worldwide, and we’ll head to the National League today for a matchup between the Florida Marlins and Cincinnati Reds.  Both teams have shown some promise in the early going, but the Reds have gotten off to a nice start with a 5-3 record.  That’s good for 2nd place in the NL Central just 1/2 game behind division leading St. Louis.

Cincinnati Reds (Homer Bailey) at Florida Marlins (Chris Volstad)
April 14, 4:10 PM Pacific

There’s a lot to like about Cincinnati in this spot.  To begin with, this is a very strong situational matchup for them based on last year’s performance data.  The Reds turned a nice profit on the road against righthanders (+10 units) while the Marlins lost money at home against RHP, including a -6.35 unit showing against righties at night.  Cincinnati starter Homer Bailey faced Florida late last season and pitched well but didn’t factor in the decision.  He left after 7 innings of 3 hit, 0 ER pitching with 8 k’s and 2 walks.  Chris Volstad has faced Cincinnati once and didn’t fare quite as well, getting the loss after allowing 7 hits and 4 runs in 6 innings of work.

The Reds have controlled the head to head series in recent years, winning 11 of the last 16 meetings including a 5-3 record in Miami.  A win here would give them a sweep of the series after two victories so far this year.   Cincinnati has a lot of young talent that may finally develop this year, and we’ll take them at an underdog price to continue their mastery over the Marlins.

Bet Cincinnati (Bailey) +115 over Florida (Volstad)

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