MLB Betting Preview: Houston Astros at Washington Nationals

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With another weekend of football betting behind us we’ll turn our attention back to Major League Baseball for Tuesday.  In this post we’ll take a look at a National League game between the Houston Astros and Washington Nationals.  At first glance we’ve got a couple of teams that are way out of playoff contention just playing out the string, but we thing there’s a good value position in this contest.

Houston Astros (Happ) at Washington Nationals (Lannan)
September 21, 2010  4:05 PM Pacific

Credit to the Houston Astros for maintaining a level of competitiveness when they easily could have quit for the year after the worst start in franchise history.  They’ve pulled within 4 games of .500–a monumental achievement considering the big hole they dug in the first month of the season.  They’ve even got a decent chance of running down St. Louis for 2nd place in the NL Central.  The fact that they actually still care on a daily basis is enough reason to make a play on them against a Washington team that looks more and more like they’ve called it a year.  Astros are 12-6 +5.6 units in September compared to the Nationals’ record of 5-12 -6.6 units so far this month.

The public ran away from Houston after their sluggish start, but their gutsy play since then combined with value prices have made them a very profitable team.  YTD, Houston is 73-77 +16.5 units and on the road they’ve gone 32-40 +12.1 units.  Making this spot even better is a great situational matchup for Houston facing lefthander John Lannen–the Astros have cleaned up against southpaws in 2010 to the tune of 27-14 +19.9 units. Lannen has pitched well of late, but just can’t ignore that pile of money that Houston has generated against LHP.  Astros now 4-1 against Washington in 2010, and we’ll gladly take them in a great situational matchup at a ‘pick’em’ price.

Bet Houston Astros (Happ) -110 over Washington Nationals (Lannen)

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