NBA Betting Free Picks: Cleveland @ Boston

Share:

No Comments

Sportsbooks offering two sports betting opportunities for Friday night and we’ll look at the Eastern Conference series between the Boston Celtics and Cleveland Cavaliers.  The Celtics earned a series split in Cleveland, with Game 3 tonight at the TD BankNorth Garden.

Cleveland Cavaliers at Boston Celtics
May 7, 4:05 PM Pacific

Much has been made of LeBron James’ injured elbow, but every indication is that he’ll play.  Cleveland was caught napping by the Celtics in Game 2 but that sets up well for a Cavs comeback in Game 3.  Historically, the visiting team has been the SU play in Game 3 nearly 60% of time in the NBA overall (59.1%) and in the conference semifinals (58.3%) in a 1-1 series.  At this price, of course, we’re really picking the SU winner.  Cavs split two games here during the regular season but the Celtics win was a late season game when Cleveland was already looking ahead to the postseason.

Celtics were a poor investment at home this year with a 15-28 ATS record and were 0-2 SU/1-0-1 ATS as a home dog.  They also didn’t perform well off an upset win as an underdog (2-6 SU/ATS) and after a win of 10+ points (9-16 ATS).  Cleveland was a solid 27-16 SU/23-19 ATS on the road and we look for a very focused and intense effort from the Cavs in this spot.  Cavs win SU and at this price that’s all we need them to do to cash our ticket.

Bet Cleveland -1 over Boston

No Comments